بررسی اثر توسعه تکنولوژی بر رشد اقتصادی و کنترل انتشار آلودگی در بخش کشاورزی (با اجرای قانون هدفمندی یارانه انرژی)

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 دانشگاه تربیت مدرس- دانشکده کشاورزی

2 دانشیار- دانشگاه تربیت مدرس- دانشکده کشاورزی

چکیده

استفاده از فناوری‌های جدید سبب کاهش انتشار آلودگی می‌شود؛ اما، به‌ دلیل وجود اثر بازگشتی نیاز به بررسی بیشتر دارد. هدف از این مطالعه بررسی تاثیر توسعه فناوری (اثر کارایی انرژی و اثر جانشینی) بر میزان آلودگی با بررسی اثرات القایی رشد اقتصادی و آزمون منحنی کوزنتس زیست‌محیطی است. در این مطالعه از اطلاعات سری‌زمانی سالانه 1360 الی 1396 و روش خودرگرسیونی‌ برداری توضیحی استفاده شده است. یافته‌‌های تحقیق دلالت بر این دارد که با افزایش قیمت انرژی ناشی از اجرای قانون هدفمندی یارانه در ایران، فرضیه زیست‌محیطی کوزنتس مورد تأیید قرار نمی‌گیرد. نتایج شبیه‌سازی سناریوی رشد اقتصادی بخش کشاورزی، نشان داد که هر یک درصد افزایش این متغیر به طور متوسط باعث افزایش 31/0 درصدی اثر کارایی انرژی بر کاهش آلودگی و افزایش 92/18 درصدی اثر جانشینی انرژی بر افزایش آلودگی در دوره شبیه‌سازی گردیده است

کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله [English]

Investigating the Effect of Technology Development on Economic Growth and Controlling the Spread of Pollution in the Agricultural Sector (by Implementing the Law on Targeted Energy Subsidies)

نویسندگان [English]

  • Fatemeh Taei 1
  • Sadegh Khalilian 2
1 Tarbiat Modares University - Faculty of Agriculture
2 Associate Professor - Tarbiat Modares University - Faculty of Agriculture
چکیده [English]

The use of new technologies reduces the spread of pollution; However, due to the rebound effect (RE), it needs further investigation. The purpose of this study is to investigate the effect of technology advance (energy efficiency and change of energy type) on pollution by calculating the effect of economic growth and testing the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) using the annual time series information of Iran's agricultural sector from 1981 to 2017 using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach. The research findings indicate that with the increase in energy prices due to the implementation of the targeted subsidy law in Iran, the Kuznets environmental hypothesis is not confirmed. The simulation results of the economic growth scenario of the agricultural sector showed that each percentage increase of this variable increased the effect of energy efficiency on pollution reduction by 0.31% on average and the effect of energy substitution on the increase of pollution increased by 18.92% during the simulation period.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • agriculture
  • Environmental Kuznets Curve
  • autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach
  • energy subsidies

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فصلنامه علمی -پژوهشی تحقیقات اقتصاد کشاورزی
دوره 15، شماره 2
مرداد 1402
صفحه 13-28

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سابقه مقاله

  • تاریخ دریافت: 17 اردیبهشت 1400
  • تاریخ بازنگری: 09 مهر 1400
  • تاریخ پذیرش: 15 مرداد 1402

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