Assess the Effect of Population Structure on Carbon Dioxide Emissions in Iran

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

• G. Layani ¹
• - N. Kargar Dehbidi ²
• F. F. Fathi ³

¹ Ph.D. Student of Agricultural Economics, College of Agriculture, Shiraz University,Shiraz, Iran.

² Ph. D. Student of Economics of Natural Resources and Environment, College of Agriculture, Shiraz University

³ Assistant Professor of Economics, College of Agriculture, Shiraz University.

Abstract

The demographic structure, as in other parts of the world, in Iran is changing. These changes are associated with a reduction in the share of children and an increase in the share of the elderly of the total population. The United Nations has predicted that in the years 2015-2030, the population of the elderly will double in Iran. Accordingly, the main objective of this study is to investigate the effect of demographic structure on carbon dioxide emissions in Iran during the period from 1350 to 1394. In this study, based on the results of variables stationary, the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach was applied. The results of the research indicate that the two demographic (15-64 years) and (0-14 years) periods have a significant impact on CO2 per capita emissions, while the aging population (65 years and older) has a lower effect on CO2 emissions.

Keywords

• Population Structure
• CO2 Emission
• ARDL
• Iran

20.1001.1.20086407.1399.12.48.4.0

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