Economic analysis the effects of increase saffron acreage on cropping pattern, the consumption of inputs and farmer's gross profit in Qazvin plain

Document Type : Research Paper

Author

Ph.D. Student in Agricultural Economics, Payame Noor University, East Tehran Branch, Tehran, Iran.

Abstract

Relatively good income, short period of cultivation and limited water requirement of saffron, farmers of Qazvin Plain made intend to cultivation of this product in their fertile lands in recent years. For this purpose, in present study the effects of increase acreage of saffron on cropping pattern, farmers' gross profit and the consumption of inputs were investigated. To achieve this goal, from Positive Mathematical Programming (PMP) model and product function with Constant Elasticity of Substitution (CES) were used. The required data are related to years 2012-2013 that by completing the questionnaires from 127 sample farmers were collected. The results showed that with the arrival of saffron to the current pattern of representative farms, cropping pattern changes in site reducing the acreage of products with more cost and higher water requirement such as corn, sugar beet and canola in small farms (from -1/78 to-13/9 percent), medium farms (from -4/92 to-14/1 percent) and large farms (from -7/05 to-16/4 percent). In this regard the farmers with large farms experiences the most changes in the current cropping pattern.

Keywords


Aghapour Sabaghi, M. (2019). Investigating the factors affecting Iran's saffron exports to BRICS countries (data panel approach). Scientific-Research Journal of Saffron, 7(3): 411-420. (In Persian)
- Beyglo, J. & Mobaraki, Z. (2008). Measurement of land suitability of Qazvin province for saffron cultivation based on multi-criteria decision making methods. Journal of Natural Geography Research, 66(1): 101-119. (In Persian)
- Cortignani, R. & Severini, S. (2009). Modeling farm-level adoption of deficit irrigation using Positive Mathematical Programming, Agricultural Water Management, 96: 1785-1791.
- He, L. Tyner, W.E. Doukkali, R. & Siam, G. (2006). Policy options to improve water allocation efficiency: analysis on Egypt and Morocco. Water International, 31: 320-337.
- Howitt, R.E. (2005). PMP based production models- development and integration. The future of rural Europe in the global agri-food system, No: 21-23.
- Howitt, R.E. Medellin-Azuara, J. & MacEwan, D. (2009). Estimating the economic impacts of agricultural yield related changes for California. Final Paper, a Paper from California Climate Change Center, No: 29.
- Howitt, R.E. Medellin-Azuara, J. MacEwan, D. & Lund, R. (2012). Calibrating disaggregate economic models of agricultural production and water management. Science of the Environmental Modeling and Software, 38(3): 244-258.
- Jihad Agricultural Organization of Qazvin Province. (2013). Available on the website http://jkqazvin.ir/.
- Medellan-Azuara, J. Harou, J.J. & Howitt, R.E. (2010). Estimating economic value of agricultural water under changing conditions and the effects of spatial aggregation, Science of the Total Environment, 408(1): 5639-5648.
- Medellan-Azuara, J. Harou, J.J. & Howitt, R.E. (2011). Predicting farmer responses to water pricing, rationing and subsidies assuming profit maximizing investment in irrigation technology. Science of the Agricultural Water Management, 108(1): 73-82.
- Meyer, A.D. Tsui, A.S. & Hinings, C.R. (1993). Configurationally approaches to organizational analysis. Academy of Management Journal, 36(2): 1175-1195.
- Ministry of Agriculture. (2019). Details of the implementation of the saffron support purchase plan in 1998. Deputy of Agricultural Affairs, Saffron Performance Report in Iran, 3 pages. (In Persian)
- Mohseni, A. & Zibaee, M. (2010). Analysis of the consequences of increasing the area under rapeseed cultivation in Namadan plain of Fars province: Application of positive mathematical programming model. Journal of Agricultural and Natural Resources Science and Technology, 47(13): 733-748. (In Persian)
- Parhizkari, A. & Sabouhi, M. (2013a). Comparison of farmers' response to irrigation water reduction policy available. Journal of Water and Irrigation Research, 3(2): 42-53. (In Persian)
- Parhizkari, A. & Sabouhi, M. (2013b). Economic analysis of the effects of technology development and mechanization on agricultural production in Qazvin province. Journal of Agricultural Economics Research, 5 (4): 1-23. (In Persian)
- Parhizkari, A. Sabouhi, M. & Ziaee, S. (2013). Simulation of the water market and analysis of the effects of irrigation water sharing policy on aquaculture pattern under water conditions. Journal of Economics and Agricultural Development, 27(3): 242-252. (In Persian)
- Parhizkari, A. Sabouhi, M. & Ahmadpour, M. (2014). Simulation of farmers' reaction to pricing policies and irrigation water quotas (Case study: Zabol city). Journal of Agricultural Economics and Development, 28(2): 164-176. (In Persian)
- Parhizkari, A. Mozaffari, M. Hoseini Khodadadi, M. & Parhizkari, R. (2015). Economic analysis of the effects of climate change due to greenhouse gas emissions on agricultural products and available water resources (Case study: lands downstream of Taleghan Dam). Journal of Agricultural Economics and Development, 29(1): 68-85. (In Persian)
- Pishbahar, A. & Khodabakhshi, S. (2014). Effects of subsidizing agricultural inputs on the cultivation pattern of selected agricultural products in Varamin plain. Journal of Agricultural Economics Research, 6(2): 53-68. (In Persian)
- Qazvin Agricultural and Natural Resources Research Center. (2014). Research project of changes in cultivation pattern in Qazvin plain during drought conditions. Agricultural and Natural Resources Research Center of Qazvin Province, Agricultural Economics Research Section, Number of Pages: 137. (In Persian)
- Sajasi Gheydari, H. & Behroz, Z. (2017). Analysis of the effects of changing the pattern of drought cultivation in rural areas to saffron production in the villages of Zabarkhan district. Quarterly Journal of Rural Development Strategies, 4(1): 58-39. (In Persian)
- Schmid, E. Sinabell, F. & Markus, F.H. (2007). Phasing out of environmentally harmful subsidies: Consequences of the 2003 CAP reform, Ecological Economics, 60(3): 596-604.
- Toroghi Foladi, A. & Hoseini, S.M. (2013). Investigating the possibility of cultivating and developing saffron (Crocus sativus) in urban climatic conditions. Journal of Plant and Ecology, 9(2): 79-90. (In Persian)