Water Poverty Index and Its Influential Factors in Iran

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

• reza ranjpour ¹
• Seyed Kamal Sadeghi ²
• mohamad ali motafakker azad ³
• Davud Behbudi ³
• Amin Taslimi Baboli ⁴

¹ Associate Professor of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Management, University of Tabriz.Iran

² Associate Professor of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Management, University of Tabriz.

³ Professor of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Management, University of Tabriz.

⁴ Ph.D. candidate in Economics, Faculty of Economics and Management, University of Tabriz.

10.30495/jae.2023.19222.1920

Abstract

Introduction: Population growth, followed by rising water and food consumption, as well as disruptions such as the disparity of population distribution patterns with the distribution of time and place of water, have caused water-security access to Iran in crisis. 
Materials and Methods: This paper is the first to accurately calculate the Poverty Index for Iran over the period from 1989 to 2015. In this paper, a new model called the Water Multiplier Evaluation System with the Disaster Theory approach is used to calculate the water poverty index. For the first time using the censored regression econometric model, the effect of economic factors affecting the water poverty index during the period of 1989-2015 has been evaluated.
Findings: The results of calculating the water poverty index indicate the upward trend of this indicator and its components. The results of estimating the coefficients of the sensed regression model indicate that population growth, GDP, human development index and added value of the agricultural sector have worsened the water poverty index in Iran
Conclusion: In other words, the current and past trends of the human development index, GDP growth, population growth, increased agricultural production, insecurity and rising water poverty in Iran are inevitable.

Keywords

• Water poverty
• Gross Domestic Production
• Value added of agriculture sector
• population
• and human development index

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